H-1B lottery
39% estimated chance across 3 lotteries on STEM OPT for a Level I offer
Level II: about 67%. DHS estimates, real rates vary by year.
Across 3 lotteries on STEM OPT, a Level I offer has about a 39% chance overall and a Level II offer about 67% (DHS estimates).
Source: Alston & Bird summary of DHS's estimated selection odds by wage level (Jan 2026)
Facts from public sources, each linked. Not legal advice, and not a promise of sponsorship or of any visa outcome.