H-1B lottery
15% estimated chance per lottery for an entry level (Level I) registration
Level II: about 31%. DHS estimates, real rates vary by year.
DHS estimates an entry level (Level I) H-1B registration has about a 15% chance per lottery. Level II: about 31%.
Source: Alston & Bird summary of DHS's estimated selection odds by wage level (Jan 2026)
Facts from public sources, each linked. Not legal advice, and not a promise of sponsorship or of any visa outcome.